Combining immature and total neutrophil counts to predict early onset sepsis in term and late preterm newborns: use of the I/T2.

TitleCombining immature and total neutrophil counts to predict early onset sepsis in term and late preterm newborns: use of the I/T2.
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2014
AuthorsNewman TB, Draper D, Puopolo KM, Wi S, Escobar GJ
JournalPediatr Infect Dis J
Date Published2014 Aug
KeywordsAge Factors, Cross-Sectional Studies, Humans, Infant, Newborn, Infant, Newborn, Diseases, Infant, Premature, Leukocyte Count, Neutrophils, Retrospective Studies, Risk, ROC Curve, Sepsis

BACKGROUND: The absolute neutrophil count and the immature/total neutrophil ratio (I/T) provide information about the risk of early onset sepsis in newborns. However, it is not clear how to combine their potentially overlapping information into a single likelihood ratio.

METHODS: We obtained electronic records of blood cultures and of complete blood counts with manual differentials drawn <1 hour apart on 66,846 infants ≥ 34 weeks gestation and <72 hours of age born at Kaiser Permanente Northern California and Brigham and Women's Hospitals. We hypothesized that dividing the immature neutrophil count (I) by the total neutrophil count (T) squared (I/T) would provide a useful summary of the risk of infection. We evaluated the ability of the I/T to discriminate newborns with pathogenic bacteremia from other newborns tested using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (c).

RESULTS: Discrimination of the I/T (c = 0.79; 95% confidence interval: 0.76-0.82) was similar to that of logistic models with indicator variables for each of 24 combinations of the absolute neutrophil count and the proportion of immature neutrophils (c = 0.80, 95% confidence interval: 0.77-0.83). Discrimination of the I/T improved with age, from 0.70 at <1 hour to 0.87 at ≥ 4 hours. However, 60% of I/T had likelihood ratios of 0.44-1.3, thus only minimally altering the pretest odds of disease.

CONCLUSIONS: Calculating the I/T could enhance prediction of early onset sepsis, but the complete blood counts will remain helpful mainly when done at >4 hours of age and when the pretest probability of infection is close to the treatment threshold.

Alternate JournalPediatr. Infect. Dis. J.
PubMed ID24503598
PubMed Central IDPMC4122647
Grant ListR01 GM080180 / GM / NIGMS NIH HHS / United States
R01-GM-80180 / GM / NIGMS NIH HHS / United States